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Looking to the future: Why cash flow is critical in the real estate industry after COVID-19

Posted on December 1, 2021

Harish Sharma, Founder and CEO, Plinthstone

As a typical ‘black swan’ event, COVID-19 has taken the world by surprise. Although the Indian economy is once again opening up for business, the impact of the pandemic will have a lingering effect on the real estate sector as there have been big changes in the way a female client buys, its increased demands, its affordability. reduced and doubt about the project. completion deadlines, especially those under construction. By acting today and managing their cash flow, real estate leaders can better serve end users and ensure their own viability.

The real estate boom of the last decade

A new home is a middle class person’s dream. Between the periods 2004 – 2012, the real estate boom appeared in India and a lot of money was invested in this market. The economy was booming, with increased employment in Tier 1 and Tier 2 cities, resulting in an affordable price. The developers easily found investors and were able to self-finance projects. The startup of software, IT and other multinational enterprises required rapid construction and commercial real estate development. With each passing year, these developments translated into higher prices. As a result, unsold properties (under construction) attracted a higher price and deferred sales became the norm. With funding readily available from investors and unorganized sources, cash flow was not an issue.

Price correction and regulation

As of 2013, ever-increasing prices meant a lack of affordability for customers. Sales slowed down and consequently new launches. As projects started to be delayed – firstly due to lack of approvals (real estate projects in India take a long time to complete due to a complicated regulatory mechanism and this resulted in a lack of consumer confidence ) and secondly due to the decrease in investor funding (as customers found it unaffordable to buy a home), cash flow issues came to the fore. This was exacerbated by the introduction of the RERA law in 2016 with the flight to quality. The segment faced regulations that made financing more difficult. The stock of unsold real estate assets started to grow and therefore suffered price corrections, creating a vicious cycle.

The importance of cash flow after the pandemic

It is not uncommon for real estate developers to find themselves in a cash flow crisis. However, India’s real estate sector, which was already experiencing a prolonged downturn, hit a new low last year due to the pandemic, causing project launches and sales to halt temporarily.

To ensure collection, cash flow management for projects is very crucial. To ensure smooth cash flow management, developers should work on the following parameters when planning their project:

1. Project management A plan highlighting the project scope, timelines and associated costs for each phase for effective cash flow management should be prepared. Most of the projects are commercially viable. However, as deadlines get out of hand, escalating project costs and liquidity begin to affect profitability.

2. A robust financial plan with both equity investment from outside investors and debt financing is essential. Historically, unorganized financing and sales to clients have been the main sources of capital. To ensure proper execution, equity and debt capital have become important.

3. The properties must be correct price for its targeted consumer. In order to make the project attractive to the client, the developer can either sell at a low price to generate volumes or add good features and equipment (relevant to the target segment) to create a good value proposition. You have to create value for the customer. In addition, it is important to build trust with the consumer through effective communication.

4. Make sure the right experience is delivered through the distribution channels. Use reliable real estate advice to support sales. Right-priced sales can help developers comfortably manage their cash flow needs instead of relying solely on debt financing without adequate sales.

For real estate developers, the COVID-19 outbreak has created challenges and pressures alongside the economic downturn, but it is also bringing opportunities and change. If managed properly and with foresight, a balanced cash flow can help recovery and bring stability to the industry. The real estate industry is emerging from a long period of slow growth and falling prices. For gamers who will focus on cash flow management, customer experience, and trust, the sky will be the limit for these gamers.

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Atlanta to give money to some poor residents to reduce poverty | National policy https://satori34.com/atlanta-to-give-money-to-some-poor-residents-to-reduce-poverty-national-policy/ Sun, 28 Nov 2021 16:20:16 +0000 https://satori34.com/atlanta-to-give-money-to-some-poor-residents-to-reduce-poverty-national-policy/

ATLANTA (AP) – Atlanta city leaders are planning pilot programs that will give money directly to small groups of low-income residents in the hope of lifting them out of poverty.

The idea behind guaranteed income programs is to reduce poverty, The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reported.

Pilot projects have been launched in cities from Los Angeles and Stockton, Calif., To Columbia, South Carolina, the newspaper reported.

In Atlanta, the initiatives were led by outgoing Atlanta mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms and city councilor Amir Farokhi, the newspaper reported.

One of the programs is expected to be launched by the end of 2021. It will provide $ 500 per month to at least 275 low-income beneficiaries for a year.

“What we do know is that $ 500 for a family that lives below the margins, in terms of income and poverty levels, can be life changing,” Bottoms said.

The other program will initially target the Old Fourth Ward. Farokhi said this effort will be focused on black women as they have been disproportionately affected by the pandemic.

People also read …

“The big promise here is that people actually know how to best spend their money,” said Farokhi, who co-founded a task force that studied guaranteed income.

Skeptics say the concept could be counterproductive when implemented on a larger scale. Others warn that this could cause people not to work.

But Bottoms rejects such criticism.

“It’s not about handing people a check to stay home,” Bottoms said in a recent interview. “It provides people with resources to help take care of their families, to fight food insecurity, to help people afford to live in the city of Atlanta.”

For more information on copyright, see the distributor of this article, The Atlanta Journal-Constitution.

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Why is cash flow crucial in the real estate industry after COVID-19? https://satori34.com/why-is-cash-flow-crucial-in-the-real-estate-industry-after-covid-19/ Tue, 23 Nov 2021 09:03:00 +0000 https://satori34.com/why-is-cash-flow-crucial-in-the-real-estate-industry-after-covid-19/ To ensure recovery, cash flow management for real estate projects is very crucial.

As a typical ‘black swan’ event, COVID-19 has taken the world by surprise. Although the Indian economy is once again opening up for business, the impact of the pandemic will have a lingering effect on the real estate sector as there have been big changes in the way a client buys, its increased demands, its affordability. reduced and doubt about the project. completion deadlines, especially those under construction. By acting today and managing their cash flow, real estate leaders can better serve end users and ensure their own viability.

The real estate boom of the last decade

A new home is a middle class person’s dream. Between the periods 2004 – 2012, the real estate boom appeared in India and a lot of money was invested in this market. The economy was booming, with increased employment in Tier 1 and Tier 2 cities, resulting in an affordable price. The developers easily found investors and were able to self-finance projects. The startup of software, IT and other multinational enterprises required rapid construction and commercial real estate development. With each passing year, these developments translated into higher prices. As a result, unsold properties (under construction) attracted a higher price and deferred sales became the norm. With funding readily available from investors and unorganized sources, cash flow was not an issue.

Price correction and regulation

As of 2013, ever-increasing prices meant a lack of affordability for customers. Sales slowed down and consequently new launches. As projects started to be delayed – firstly due to lack of approvals (real estate projects in India take a long time to complete due to a complicated regulatory mechanism and this resulted in a lack of consumer confidence ) and secondly due to the decrease in investor funding (as customers found it unaffordable to buy a home), cash flow issues came to the fore. This was exacerbated by the introduction of the RERA law in 2016 with the flight to quality. The segment faced regulations that made financing more difficult. The stock of unsold real estate assets started to increase and therefore suffered price corrections, creating a vicious circle.

The importance of cash flow after the pandemic

It is not uncommon for real estate developers to find themselves in a cash flow crisis. However, India’s real estate sector, which was already experiencing a prolonged downturn, hit a new low last year due to the pandemic, causing project launches and sales to halt temporarily.

To ensure recovery, cash flow management for real estate projects is very crucial. To ensure good cash flow management, developers should work on the following parameters when planning their project:

1. A project management plan highlighting the project scope, timelines and associated costs for each phase for effective cash flow management should be prepared. Most of the projects are commercially viable. However, as the deadlines get out of hand, escalating project costs and liquidity begin to affect profitability.

2. A sound financial plan with both equity investments from outside investors and debt financing is essential. Historically, unorganized financing and sales to clients have been the main sources of capital. To ensure smooth execution, equity and debt capital have become important.

3. Properties must be valued correctly for their target consumer. In order to make the project attractive to the client, the developer can either sell at a low price to generate volumes or add good features and equipment (relevant to the target segment) to create a good value proposition. You have to create value for the customer. In addition, it is important to build trust with the consumer through effective communication.

4. Make sure the right experience is delivered through the distribution channels. Use reliable real estate advice to support sales. Right-priced sales can help developers comfortably manage their cash flow needs instead of relying solely on debt financing without adequate sales.
For real estate developers, the COVID-19 outbreak has created challenges and pressures alongside the economic downturn, but it also brings opportunities and changes. If managed correctly and with foresight, a balanced cash flow can help recovery and bring stability to the industry. The real estate industry is emerging from a long period of slow growth and falling prices. For gamers who will focus on cash flow management, customer experience, and trust, only the sky will be the limit.

(By Harish Sharma, Founder and CEO, Plinthstone)

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Drivers scramble as money falls from armored truck on highway | national https://satori34.com/drivers-scramble-as-money-falls-from-armored-truck-on-highway-national/ Sat, 20 Nov 2021 04:45:02 +0000 https://satori34.com/drivers-scramble-as-money-falls-from-armored-truck-on-highway-national/

CARLSBAD, Calif. (AP) – Drivers rushed to collect cash Friday morning after bags of cash fell from an armored truck on a southern California highway, authorities said.

The incident occurred shortly before 9:15 a.m. on Interstate 5 in Carlsbad as the truck was heading from San Diego to a Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. office, authorities said.

“One of the doors opened and bags of money fell out,” said the California Highway Patrol Sgt. Curtis Martin said.

Several bags opened, spilling money – mostly $ 1 and $ 20 bills – across all lanes and chaotically stopping the freeway, Martin said.

Video posted online showed some people laughing and jumping while holding wads of cash.

Two people were arrested at the scene and Martin warned anyone else who took the money could face criminal charges. He noted that there had been many videos taken by passers-by at the scene and that the CHP and FBI were investigating.

Anyone who took money was asked to bring it to the CHP office in Vista.

Authorities did not immediately say how much money was lost. However, at least a dozen people returned the money they collected to the CHP on Friday afternoon, the San Diego Union-Tribune reported.

“People bring a lot,” Martin said. “People have a lot of money.”

The highway was reopened shortly before 11 a.m.

Copyright 2021 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed without permission.

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Phunware: Organizes Revenue Forecast for 2022 and Revises Investment Policy for Cash Management https://satori34.com/phunware-organizes-revenue-forecast-for-2022-and-revises-investment-policy-for-cash-management/ Thu, 18 Nov 2021 18:03:17 +0000 https://satori34.com/phunware-organizes-revenue-forecast-for-2022-and-revises-investment-policy-for-cash-management/

Phunware organizes its revenue forecast for 2022 and revises its investment policy for cash management

Posted November 18, 2021

Phunware has announced a revenue forecast of $ 25 million for 2022, including a revised corporate investment policy that provides even more flexibility to diversify and maximize returns on cash reserves that are not immediately needed for the business. operating liquidity.

“We are delighted to announce more than $ 65 million in available cash and are committed to leveraging a healthy balance sheet to support long-term organic and inorganic growth initiatives aimed at mitigating an inflationary operating environment. fast, ”said Matt Aune, chief financial officer of Phunware. “While we expect to more than double our organic revenues to reach $ 25 million in 2022, our board has also taken a forward-thinking approach to managing our cash reserves and has chosen to leverage Decentralized finance (DeFi) as a strategic and tactical competitive advantage, including bitcoin, stablecoins, and alternative cryptocurrencies. ”

Read the full Proactive article

Phunware organizes its revenue forecast for 2022 and revises its investment policy for cash managementwas last modified: November 18, 2021through Phunware

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Phunware Inc. published this content on November 18, 2021 and is solely responsible for the information it contains. Distributed by Public, unedited and unmodified, on November 18, 2021 06:02:06 PM UTC.

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Affordable ATMs https://satori34.com/affordable-atms/ Mon, 15 Nov 2021 16:53:31 +0000 https://satori34.com/affordable-atms/

Even if this concerns all the digital giants, it is true that since 2019, the FTC (Federal Trade Commission) and the DOJ (Department of Justice) have focused their energy in particular on Alphabet, Facebook and Amazon.

The FTC is a government agency whose role is to protect consumers from abuse of dominance that results in higher prices or lower quality products or services. It must rely on antitrust laws and has the power to impose fines on companies. He often joins forces with the DOJ, which takes charge of the criminal aspect of the investigation. The actions of these entities can lead to the dismantling of a conglomerate of companies.

It was in the 1890s that antitrust laws were established in the United States to prevent certain groups from acquiring monopoly positions using illegal means. Among other things, these laws made it possible to dismantle the Standard Oil conglomerate of Rockefeller, which occupied more than 85% of the American oil market in the 1910s. A little later, Hitler’s rise to power in Germany, favored by the concentration of activities in a small number of groups has led the United States to support a policy of diversification and the dismantling of large groups. These laws were then abandoned for more than 50 years, especially under the Reggan administration in the 1980s, which believed that the government should not interfere in the markets. According to his supporters, the liberalization of the Reggan years allowed American innovation and world domination. According to CNBC, these ideas stuck and the number of companies listed on the US markets halved between 1996 and 2016. Mergers and acquisitions are therefore still very much in fashion, but recent cases involving the three companies bring the authorities to question whether the antitrust laws inherited from the 19th century are still appropriate in a largely digital environment.

Visibility into the future of Meta, Amazon and Alphabet seems compromised by actions taken not only by the FTC (e.g. Apple vs. Epic Games) but also by the rest of the world, such as the 8 billion euros in fines. inflicted by the European Commission on Google over the past 10 years. Especially since in the battle David against Goliath, the majority will always support David.

These phenomena may partly explain the fears of investors on these various issues. However, according to our analyst Tommy Douziech, threats of dismantling are now more of a perceived risk than a real risk. He adds that if a dismantling were to be carried out, it could lead to a revaluation of certain companies to higher levels than the current one (because the new companies created would become pure-players). He cites the example of Youtube, still consolidated into Google services at the time of writing, or Twitch at Amazon.

Operators accustomed to excellence

There are other reasons for the attractive valuation levels of Meta, Alphabet and Apple. When you study finance, one of the first things you learn is about income growth: double-digit growth is good, keeping it is better (but harder). In fact, while most companies do see their growth slow as they enter the market (they focus on costs), some are exceptions. This is the case of the tech giants which, despite their size, continue their unbridled growth in a market apparently without borders. The flip side is that operators have grown used to these excellent results. Now even the smallest deviation from expectations is paying off. This is something we see frequently with Apple and its quarterly results. Sometimes investors go even further, punishing for example the extraordinary (and well above expectations) performance of Netflix during the crisis. While the company announced 10 million new users in the second quarter of 2020 against 8 expected, it deviated by 6% in the markets. It is precisely this extraordinary achievement that investors did not like, because it is “too good to be reproduced”. Some also adhere to the saying: “buy the rumors, sell the news”. It seems that technology stocks incorporate more important results than estimated in their prices. It is not the company that surprises, but rather the analysts who were wrong. In my opinion, this lack of visibility and the volatility of prices during the earnings season can represent a barrier for small newcomers who wish to invest in Internet giants.

The world after

You might have thought of something like, “Apple will never reinvent the iPhone anyway.” Certainly, but yet, they never cease to surprise us and consolidate their domination with improvements that allow them to widen the gap with any competition (cloud, processors, IA …). These giants are cash machines, it is not too late to invest in them, but few people accept this rather bland reality.

Table 1: Alphabet’s share price, turnover and quarterly EPS

Table 2: Evolution of Apple’s share price, sales and quarterly EPS

Table 3: Meta share price, revenue and quarterly EPS

Analysts speak similarly to the debate between passive management and active management. When you fall back on such instruments, you take away the magic of the markets and the excitement of your work.

For ETFs, Burton Malkiel offers a golf analogy, already used in an article by Mark J. Perry:

“It’s true that when you buy an index fund, you give up on the golf course to brag about choosing the best performing stock or mutual fund. This is why some critics claim that indexing relegates your results to mediocrity. In fact, you are pretty much guaranteed to do better than average. It’s like going to a golf course and shooting every round at par. How many golfers can do better than this? Index funds offer a simple and inexpensive solution to your investing problems. “

By extending this analogy, and by applying it to an investment in tech giants, we then understand that there is nothing original in advising these positions. As Peter Lynch puts it so well: “No one can ever blame an analyst for advising IBM 20 years ago.” But today, and still, some analysts believe that their job is to find “the next Google”, “the next Apple”. The beauty of finance lies in this approach. However, this is reflected in the appalling statistics on the performance of the most active funds (see SPIVA study).

I wonder if the Metaverse of tomorrow will be mostly made up of new players whose names we don’t yet know, or companies whose ticker pops up in front of our eyes every morning when we turn on our computer screens. In the telecoms sector, some companies which seemed best placed to innovate suffered a setback.

These various reasons – the impression of arriving too late, the lack of interest of certain professionals and the rapid transformation of our society – can partly explain the valuation ratios of these companies. However, you will understand, these stocks can perfectly meet your expectations.

Highly exposed groups

Digital groups are very exposed to the media. They take good and bad from this exhibition. For example, recruiting is rarely a problem for these companies. Even if the working conditions of Amazon employees have been the subject of controversy, this has never been an obstacle to the development of the company.

The exposure of the digital giants has also led to many boycott calls, once again Amazon is the easy target, but Twitter and Facebook have also been called to denounce censorship, free speech or the refusal to cooperate with legal authorities to arrest users considered dangerous. As for censorship, we remember the deletion of President Donald Trump’s Twitter account after his supporters burst onto Capitol Hill. So far, these boycotts have had a very limited impact on the activity of these companies. But indirectly, it has prompted authorities to take a closer look at these overpowered conglomerates.

The leaders of these companies are also highly publicized and their entire lives are scrutinized. They must be irreproachable to avoid scandal. And the risk of scandal is very real. Likewise, insider selling can be problematic for the listing of such securities and the departure or death of a pioneer is also a risk that must be taken into account. These events have an influence that is difficult to measure on the valuation of the shares in question, but what is certain is that the risk is much more pronounced in these companies than in a group like Coca Cola, for example.

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Canadian border officers seized $ 166 million in undeclared cash from travelers https://satori34.com/canadian-border-officers-seized-166-million-in-undeclared-cash-from-travelers/ https://satori34.com/canadian-border-officers-seized-166-million-in-undeclared-cash-from-travelers/#respond Wed, 10 Nov 2021 02:40:12 +0000 https://satori34.com/canadian-border-officers-seized-166-million-in-undeclared-cash-from-travelers/

British Columbia’s money laundering investigation may be drawing to a close, but there is still a lot of data to go. A dataset comes from the Canada Border Services Agency (CBSA) and money seized from travelers. Between April 2015 and March 2020, the agency seized well over $ 100 million in undeclared cash holdings from travelers. This includes millions of people suspected of being the proceeds of crime, carried by hundreds of travelers.

Canada seized over $ 166 million in undeclared cash

Canadian authorities have seized a mountain of money from travelers who have not declared (or totally hidden) at least $ 10,000. Over a 5-year period, the CBSA seized $ 166.13 million out of a total of 9,769 people. The amount peaked during the 12-month period ending March 31, 2016 (2015/2016). Coincidentally, that was the year before British Columbia announced its speculation tax for non-residents. Foreclosures increased steadily after the sharp drop, until they dropped sharply in 2019/2020 for obvious reasons.

Seizures of important undeclared cash by Canadian border officers

The amount of large undeclared cash holdings seized by Canadian border officers.

Source: CBSA; Cullen Commission; Better accommodation.

Most people get their money back, even if it was hidden

The CBSA uses a tiered system to assess a person caught smuggling money. The first three are subject to fines and you get your money back after paying the fine. Just the cost of doing business, I guess. The fourth level is the worst and means that the officer has reason to believe that it is the proceeds of crime. Here’s what each level typically means:

Level 1: This is the most minor offense when there is no effort to conceal the money. The person caught must also recognize what they have done. In general, you can say that these people just forgot that they had over $ 10,000 in cash on them – a fantastic feeling, I was told.

Level 2: This is when the money has been hidden but not in a fake compartment. It’s also an upgrade if you get caught with a level 1, but it’s not your first time.

Level 3: This is when the money is hidden in a fake compartment and it is hard to argue that someone simply forgot the money.

Level 4: This is when the CBSA officer determines that the money was the proceeds of crime and the traveler will not get the money back. It can be contested since the agent’s opinion is not necessarily a fact. If the money hidden in a false bottom article is not considered a suspicion of money smuggling, one would assume that it must be brazen enough to make it happen.

Canada collected nearly $ 5 million in fines for undeclared money

Canadian authorities collected millions in fines for seizures of level 1 to 3 undeclared species during this period. The fees are $ 4.48 million over a 5-year period. It’s a really good deal to get caught trying to slip $ 154.56 million from past authorizations.

Number of large undeclared cash holdings seized by Canadian border officers

The number of times Canadian border officers seized large undeclared cash holdings found on travelers.

Source: CBSA; Cullen Commission; Better accommodation.

The remaining money was confiscated because it was suspected of being the proceeds of a crime. That’s $ 11.57 million in cash over the 5-year period and 478 people. No need to look for the calculator – that works out to an average of $ 24,200 per suspected criminal. Not astronomical but in $ 20 bills it would look like 10 wads of cash as you would see in a movie case and weigh the equivalent of enough Tang to mix 18 liters.

Toronto and Vancouver are where most of the money was seized

The Greater Toronto Area is the number one destination for that money. CBSA data shows that $ 40.87 million, or about 25% of the money seized over the five years, was in the GTA. Of this money, $ 5.16 million was subject to a Level 4 foreclosure. Keeping the visuals, the amount seized would have been sufficient for the down payment on 975 Toronto condos at the current benchmark price. It’s also just the GTA. Southern Ontario and its border crossings are a whole different category.

Toronto and Vancouver large undeclared cash holdings seized by Canadian border officers

Dollar amounts seized by Canadian border authorities in the Greater Toronto and Pacific (BC) region. Most of the foreclosures in British Columbia are in the Greater Vancouver area.

Source: CBSA; Cullen Commission; Better accommodation.

The CBSA does not have a Metro Vancouver area, but a comprehensive “Pacific” region, which includes border crossings and ports in British Columbia. This region represents $ 50.76 million in funds over 5 years, or nearly 30.55% of the total. Of this money, $ 7.68 million was the subject of a Level 4 seizure, suspected of being the proceeds of criminal activity. Even though this is all of British Columbia, the majority of the seizures took place at the Metro Vancouver airport – so it might as well be a category within Metro Vancouver.

It should be mentioned that the population of British Columbia is approximately 15% smaller than the population of the Greater Toronto Area. Seeing a higher share of cash seizures means the province is over-represented, especially when it comes to Level 4 seizures. It is probably safe to conclude that the province may have been subject to a higher level of cash. ‘criminal activities.

The sum of money in total may seem small or astronomical, depending on your understanding of the data. In the grand scheme of things, the dollar value is a relatively small amount, in contrast, to say – the issuance of mortgages. Although it should be considered that the amount seized is usually only a fraction of the inflow discovered.

Combine that with the leverage and the fact that it’s just one of the many sources and the problem becomes much bigger. A hundred million here, a few billion there, and finally you’re talking serious money. Especially considering that only a small amount needs to be invested in real estate to inflate prices due to the behavioral impact of the compensation system.

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Chula vista cash loans. One person pushes organizations for many instead of Cashloan. https://satori34.com/chula-vista-cash-loans-one-person-pushes-organizations-for-many-instead-of-cashloan/ https://satori34.com/chula-vista-cash-loans-one-person-pushes-organizations-for-many-instead-of-cashloan/#respond Fri, 05 Nov 2021 12:06:10 +0000 https://satori34.com/chula-vista-cash-loans-one-person-pushes-organizations-for-many-instead-of-cashloan/ Chula vista cash loans. One person pushes organizations for many instead of Cashloan.

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Tony Travers: Skill improvement is key to leveling, not random cash injections https://satori34.com/tony-travers-skill-improvement-is-key-to-leveling-not-random-cash-injections/ https://satori34.com/tony-travers-skill-improvement-is-key-to-leveling-not-random-cash-injections/#respond Thu, 04 Nov 2021 10:42:04 +0000 https://satori34.com/tony-travers-skill-improvement-is-key-to-leveling-not-random-cash-injections/

Performance indicators including life expectancy and reduced unemployment need to be developed to show whether the government’s flagship policy is succeeding, writes the director of LSE London.

The government has, at most, only two and a half years to “bring” the UK up to standard. We are now approaching the mid-term of the current government and the results of the leveling will surely have to be visible before the end of spring 2024 (or maybe 2023).

Tony Travers, Director of LSE London

of course, that doesn’t make sense !! It took more than 50 years for the political challenges grouped together in the form of a need to make sweeping improvements to places and people “left behind” to integrate. It would take at least two decades to begin to mitigate the problems caused by industrial change.

Basically, these challenges stem from (a) the political responses of successive governments to the rapid deindustrialization of Great Britain from the 1950s onwards, (b) an education system that has often entangled the social hierarchy (not the same as class) with the esteem given to different types of learning and (c) the fact that London and the wider South East have accidentally become one of the world’s largest and most sought-after agglomerations for entrepreneurship, skills and investment.

An economic revolution

So far, government policy has involved pots of money for cities, town centers and “leveling”. Higher education and vocational training have seen a modest reversal of the budget cuts they suffered from 2010, with some sensible new initiatives. The combined authorities and mayors have become lobbyists for resources and, where they work best, have begun to shape a potential economic future for their regions.

What is needed is a massive upgrade of people, especially in parts of the country where the economy has changed forever

Covid and Brexit have added new challenges for policymakers. The former has accelerated pre-existing trends towards different patterns of work and retailing, while the latter will inevitably lead to changes in the structure of the economy. The structure of international trade will change, with different impacts from place to place.

The UK is going through another economic revolution that will not be stopped by protectionism, attempts to move large institutions across the country or by random injections of money into industry. What is needed is a massive skills upgrade, especially in parts of the country where the economy has changed forever. Steps to raise the status of less advantaged parts of post-school education, improve local transport in urban areas and ensure the availability of ‘seed’ funding across the UK would go a long way. to unleash what Harold Wilson has immortalized as the “white heat” of the “scientific revolution”.

The danger of “the archeology of regeneration”

In all fairness, the government has started to act on these three strategic objectives. However, until now, more importance has been given to the reconstruction of city centers and to classic one-off projects of the “urban program” type. Civic pride is powerful, and city centers should be great places to visit. But unless the local economy reverts to productive life, there is a risk that the various top-down funding streams will simply create more “archeology of regeneration”: government programs from the 2020s onwards than generations. futures will observe alongside those of the 1970s, 1980s and 1990s.

Cut deprived Londoners from the results of [levelling up] would risk further impoverishing some of the most disadvantaged places in the country

One of the curiosities of the recent budget and expenditure review has been the emergence of two new nations in the UK. Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland now sit alongside “outside London” and “London” as part of the country. This separation of England into two sub-nations was undoubtedly to underline the extent to which contemporary politics intended to profit “outside London”. But in terms of upgrading, cutting disadvantaged Londoners (and those in the South East) off the results of this policy would risk further impoverishing some of the country’s most disadvantaged places.

For the upgrade to work, it will require performance metrics. Life expectancy would be good, as would the reduction in unemployment. Unless such measures are developed, we will not know whether progress is being made.

Tony Travers, Director, LSE London

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RBA issues decision on November treasury rate https://satori34.com/rba-issues-decision-on-november-treasury-rate/ https://satori34.com/rba-issues-decision-on-november-treasury-rate/#respond Tue, 02 Nov 2021 03:30:58 +0000 https://satori34.com/rba-issues-decision-on-november-treasury-rate/

Despite recent concerns about lending, the RBA has come as no surprise to experts, holding the cash rate at its all-time high of 0.1% for at least a month.

This means that all eyes are on the December RBA decision.

According to CreditorWatch chief economist Harley Dale, “the RBA’s monetary policy announcement in December will be the biggest of 2021, followed by the Melbourne Cup Day update.”

“November 2sd is race day; December 7e is game day, ”he joked.

Mr Dale said there had been tentative signs of re-emerging inflationary pressures, “although heavily influenced at this stage by pressures related to COVID.”

“The rapid easing of lockdown restrictions has opened up pent-up demand for consumer services. Many companies are about to leave and as vaccination levels reach critical levels required, the outlook is positive.”

But, he warned that the future “has no shortage of bumps.”

“We all knew we would hit this in the December 2021 quarter, but now we’re living it. Openness means significantly higher demand and better times for small and medium-sized businesses. A key issue is that this changing economic environment is occurring in a landscape of persistent supply disruptions, ”the economist stressed.

He pointed out that this backdrop could create a difficult business environment for many SMEs – economic recovery does not have to happen in a straight line.

“It would be nice to tell a universally positive story, but that is the nature of the pandemic,” he conceded.

All the while, the RBA is under the pump as the prospects for earlier-than-expected interest rate hikes increase.

Mr. Dale said everyone now expects market interest rates – even without the presence of official changes to cash rate policy.

“While economic conditions sometimes change in changing and sometimes revolutionizing ways, the RBA is sticking to its record interest rate policy, but not necessarily when the time is right,” he said.

“On December 7, we will receive the final statement from the RBA until February 1, 2022. The December statement will be a key update as the Bank has had the opportunity to review an increasing amount of information regarding economic results after foreclosure.

RBA issues decision on November treasury rate



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Last updated: November 02, 2021

Posted: 02 November 2021

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